The Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe’s (OSCE) Special Monitoring Mission (SMM) to Ukraine uses a variety of methods to observe ceasefire violations, including the use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). Since their introduction into the field in November 2014, these UAVs have become targets for both pro-Russian separatists and the Ukrainian Armed Forces and have been downed by both small arms and by “sophisticated Russian jamming equipment.” The effectiveness of their use in monitoring the conflict can be seen in multiple videos released by the OSCE SMM of exchanges of fire between Ukrainian and separatist forces north of Donetsk.

On June 2, 2016, the OSCE SMM to Ukraine shared a video on YouTube of two 2S3 Akatsiya 152mm self-propelled howitzers firing four rounds on government-controlled Avdiivka. The video was recorded on May 29, and a description of the recorded events was published in a daily report from the OSCE SMM:

The video shows this event, with the two explosions near the howitzer positions likely a result of Ukrainian artillery fire. Minutes after the incoming fire, the two howitzers in separatist-controlled territory fire towards Avdiivka.

Our Online Open Source Investigation (OOSI) into the locations of these howitzers confirms the information published by the OSCE Special Monitoring Mission to Ukraine.

The landscape captured by the UAV matches that of Mineralne on Google Earth. In the graphic below, touch or click the slider in the middle of the image to see the same location in OSCE SMM UAV footage and on a Google Earth satellite image.

The UAV was able to capture the target of the shelling: government-controlled Avdiivka, to the northwest of the filmed firing positions. The last frame of the published recording shows the city. As with the howitzer positions in Mineralne, imagery from Google Earth shows that the OSCE correctly assessed the scene as Avdiivka.

Twenty minutes after the howitzers fired towards Avdiivka, locals in an Avdiivka Vkontake group posted that shelling was taking place in the city, including one woman who said that “It has begun again, with night always comes the firing!”

Another video uploaded on July 31, 2016 contains UAV footage from the nights of July 18, 21, and 22. The surveillance UAV captured footage of artillery strikes landing on both factions’ territories, anti-aircraft flak directed at a rocket fired from the Ukrainian side, movement of unauthorized vehicles in government-held territory, and mortar launches from separatist-held territory. These incidents were corroborated by observations on the ground both during and the day after the violations in OSCE SMM daily spot reports.

On July 18th, the OSCE SMM UAV captured video of artillery fire striking a separatist-held fortification around the Yasinovatsky traffic outpost and railway station No. 2 on the M04/E50 road and shells striking a building on the northern edge of the nearby Ukrainian-held industrial zone, suggesting that both factions were launching targeted artillery strikes that night. These strikes were included in the July 19th OSCE SMM spot report.

With each of these incidents, the footage from the OSCE SMM UAV and satellite images from Google Earth can be juxtaposed, showing the locations north of Donetsk. In two incidents from July 21, we see incoming artillery fire in both Ukrainian and separatist-controlled territory near Avdiivka.

While most of the video footage shows only one side of the fighting, one sequence shows a missile launch from Ukrainian-controlled territory northwest of the “promzone,” and bursts of anti-aircraft fire near separatist-controlled territory.

The OSCE SMM UAV did not only capture bursts of fire, but also the movement of military equipment through civilian areas — a clear violation of the Minsk protocols.

The capability of the OSCE SMM UAVs to capture such flagrant violations of the Minsk accords is likely the reason why they have been so frequently targeted by both factions of the war. Military experts have noted that separatists have targeted OSCE SMM UAVs with “small arms, anti-air rockets and electronic warfare” after observing separatist military equipment.

Both the Ukrainian army and separatist forces, though far more often the latter, have targeted the OSCE SMM’s UAVs with attacks. The reason behind the targeting of these UAVs is not a mystery — with them, the OSCE SMM is able to film and publish flagrant violations of the Minsk accords from both sides.

On the morning of May 27, 2016, pro-Russian separatists downed a monitoring UAV on the outskirts of separatist-held Horlivka. The reason for this downing is obvious from the military equipment it observed before being targeted: a Russian-provided 9K35 Strela-10 surface-to-air missile system (NATO designation SA-13 “Gopher”).

In addition, the UAVs are able to spot hidden equipment, such as a Russian-provided R-330ZH “Zhitel’” electronics jamming station in separatist-held territory south of Donetsk.

Two weeks later, the OSCE SMM spotted yet another R-330ZH “Zhitel” station in separatist-held territory. Separatist soldiers fired at the UAV, but it survived the encounter. This encounter took place northwest of the separatist-controlled city of Debaltseve, as geolocated by Twitter user @etkmkao.

While separatist forces have most often used electronic jamming devices and anti-aircraft missiles to down OSCE SMM UAVs, the Ukrainian military is not innocent in this respect, and both sides have fired at the UAVs with small arms.

In addition to the SMM, both the Ukrainian and separatist forces use their own UAVs to gather intelligence over the Donbas. Russian UAVs have been spotted and downed in the area as well. As the alignment of a UAV is difficult to determine from the ground, all UAVs, especially the SMM’s, are targeted indiscriminately. In attempt to avoid being targeted, the SMM submits flight plans to the JCCC (Joint Center for Control and Co-ordination) before launching each UAV mission, which aids in communication between sides. However, these notices often do not reach all forces or are outright ignored.

From the end of May to the end of July, the OSCE SMM’s surveillance UAVs were attacked by ground forces or prevented from launching at a rate of almost twice a week.

These deliberate and repeated disruptions of OSCE SMM monitoring activities is not a recent phenomenon, with the first known jamming incident occurring on February 24, 2015 over the Donetsk airport. The OSCE SMM to Ukraine has been increasingly vocal in both the targeting of their UAVs and their findings during successful monitoring missions. When the UAVs are allowed to operate, they provide some of the most compelling evidence of violations of the Minsk accords, including the use, positions, and transfer of arms near the contact line, allowing open source researchers to corroborate the footage with accounts on the ground.

Follow the latest Minsk II Violations via the @DFRLab’s #MinskMonitor.

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