U.S. Elections 2024

The Digital Forensic Research Lab (DFRLab) of the Atlantic Council is dedicated to identifying foreign malign influence and information manipulation targeting the 2024 U.S. election. On this page, you will find our compiled research and reporting on 2024 U.S. election threats, as well as links to our historical U.S. case studies. The DFRLab’s nonpartisan election coverage complements that of the wider Atlantic Council, whose compiled commentary and analysis you can find at Elections 2024: America’s role in the world.

Spotlight

Latest Research

December 2024

AI tools used in Kenya to discredit protesters and allege Russian connections

by Ali Chenrose

The pro-government campaign appears to involve a marketing firm that employs influencers
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December 2024

Partnering to counter information manipulation in South Caucasus and Eastern Europe

Project MUGA (Moldova, Ukraine, Georgia, Armenia) is led by the INFO OPS Poland Foundation in partnership with the Atlantic Council’s Digital Forensic Research Lab.
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December 2024

In It to Win It: Understanding Cyber Policy through a Simulated Crisis 

by Safa Shahwan Edwards, Emerson Johnston

Competitors and judges from the Cape Town Cyber 9/12 Strategy Challenge share their perspectives on the competition’s impact on the African cybersecurity landscape.
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December 2024

Oil laundering at sea: defeating Russia’s shadow fleet in the Mediterranean

by Dr. Giangiuseppe Pili, Dr. Gary C. Kessler, Alessio Armenzoni

Analysis: We must strengthen our collective OSINT capacity to track illicit Russian oil shipments and prevent them
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December 2024

The Eight Body Problem: Exploring the Implications of Salt Typhoon 

by Cyber Statecraft Team

The Cyber Statecraft community and friends offer their thoughts on the implications of the Salt Typhoon campaign based on what is known to date, what the campaign says about the last four years of cybersecurity policy, and where policymakers should focus in the months ahead.
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December 2024

Inauthentic X accounts targeted American and Canadian politicians amid student protests

by Ali Chenrose

The accounts pushed an anti-Qatar campaign and messages about Islamism
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December 2024

How inauthentic accounts exploit Telegram comments to spread anti-Ukrainian narratives

by Roman Osadchuk, Iryna Adam, Givi Gigitashvili, Meredith Furbish

Analysis of more than 580,000 comments shows pattern of narrative attacks amplified via coordinated behavior; additional instances appeared in Facebook comments
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December 2024

Foreign narratives proliferate among Japanese X communities

by Digital Forensic Research Lab, Julia Janicki

Network analysis reveals communities and key users, each playing distinct roles in amplifying pro-Russia and pro-China messaging
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December 2024

Rise of unknown Romanian presidential candidate preceded by Telegram and TikTok engagement spikes

by Victoria Olari

Network of Telegram channels helped previously obscure candidate Calin Georgescu reach 1.4 billion total views on TikTok
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In-Depth Reports

September 2024

Mythical Beasts and Where to Find Them: Mapping the Global Spyware Market and its Threats to National Security and Human Rights

by Jen Roberts, Trey Herr, Nitansha Bansal, and Nancy Messieh, with Emma Taylor, Jean Le Roux, and Sopo Gelava

The Mythical Beasts project pulls back the curtain on the connections between 435 entities across forty-two countries in the global spyware market.
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September 2024

Mythical Beasts and Where to Find Them

by Jen Roberts, Trey Herr, Nitansha Bansal, and Nancy Messieh, with Emma Taylor, Jean Le Roux, and Sopo Gelava

Mythical Beasts and Where to Find Them: Mapping the Global Spyware Market and its Threats to National Security and Human Rights is concerned with the commercial market for spyware and provides data on market participants.
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June 2024

User in the Middle: An Interoperability and Security Guide for Policymakers

by Maia Hamin, Alphaeus Hanson

When technologies work together, it benefits users and the digital ecosystem. Policymakers can advance interoperability and security in tandem by understanding how each impacts the other.
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June 2024

“Reasonable” Cybersecurity in Forty-Seven Cases: The Federal Trade Commission’s Enforcement Actions Against Unfair and Deceptive Cyber Practices

by Isabella Wright, Maia Hamin

The FTC has brought 47 cases against companies for unfair or deceptive cybersecurity practices. What can we learn from them?
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Generative art showing paper airplanes flying over Red Square in Moscow.
June 2024

Another battlefield: Telegram as a digital front in Russia’s war against Ukraine

In this new report, the DFRLab investigates the role of Telegram in Russia since the February 2022 invasion of Ukraine
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April 2024

Markets Matter: A Glance into the Spyware Industry

by Jen Roberts, Trey Herr, Emma Taylor, Nitansha Bansal

The Intellexa Consortium is a complex web of holding companies and vendors for spyware and related services. The Consortium represents a compelling example of spyware vendors in the context of the market in which they operate—one which helps facilitate the commercial sale of software driving both human rights and national security risk.
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An image of a GPU overlaid with a computer terminal showing the results of an nmap command, a network scan.
February 2024

Hacking with AI

by Maia Hamin, Stewart Scott

Can generative AI help hackers? By deconstructing the question into attack phases and actor profiles, this report analyzes the risks, the realities, and their implications for policy.
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Smartphone with the app from TikTok on the flags of the USA and China. (Source: Reuters)
February 2024

TikTok: Hate the Game, Not the Player

by Rose Jackson, Seth Stodder, Kenton Thibaut

How Strategic and Regulatory Confusion Around TikTok Prevent an Effective National Security Response
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January 2024

Design Questions in the Software Liability Debate

by Maia Hamin, Sara Ann Brackett, and Trey Herr, with Andy Kotz

Software liability—resurgent in the policy debate since its mention in the 2023 US National Cybersecurity Strategy—describes varied potential structures to create legal accountability for vendors of insecure software. This report identifies key design questions for such regimes and tracks their discussion through the decades-long history of the debate.
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Projects

Russian soldier and helicopter

Russian War Report

As Russia’s aggression in Europe heats up, the Atlantic Council’s Digital Forensic Research Lab (DFRLab) is keeping a close eye on Moscow’s movements across the military, cyber, and information domains.

Foreign Interference Attribution Tracker

The DFRLab’s Foreign Interference Attribution Tracker (FIAT) is an interactive, open-source database that captures allegations of foreign interference relevant to the 2024 election. This tool assesses the credibility, bias, evidence, transparency, and impact of each claim.


Election Official Handbook: Preparing for Election Day Misinformation

As part of the Election Integrity Partnership, the DFRLab has analyzed roughly four hundred cases of election-related dis- and misinformation on social media. This memo gathers the findings and issues recommendations for US election officials: they must prepare for viral falsehoods online that persist for weeks.


Dichotomies of Disinformation

Via the DFRLab’s Github: This project isolates “political disinformation campaigns.” Dichotomies of Disinformation proposes and tests a classification system built on 150 variable options. Our intent is to establish a replicable, extensible system by which widely disparate disinformation campaigns can be categorized and compared.

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